The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
The week that was for the week's end
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The week that was for the week's end

Including a podcast of the weekly hoon with Bernard Hickey, Peter Bale, Natalia Chaban and Robert Patman; Five facts that changed; Charts, numbers and quotes of the week; Weekend Reads; Fun things
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TLDR & TLDL: This week, the Government cut petrol tax and bus and train fares in response to sharply higher fuel costs and a bad poll. The US Federal Reserve finally hiked interest rates and the United States threatened to sanction China if it helped Russia in Ukraine. Simon Bridges retired and was replaced by Nicola Willis as National’s Finance spokesperson. Wellington discovered its water wasn’t being fluoridated because its councils hadn’t invested to replace ageing treatment plants.

The podcast of our weekly ‘hoon’ webinar above included myself, Peter Bale and special guests Professor Robert Patman and Professor Natalia Chaban talking last night about these events of the week, in particular the tragedy and implications from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, the risks of China choosing to help Russia, the fuel tax cuts and Nicola Willis’ elevation.

This is the freely available weekly sampler email newsletter and podcast I send to both free and paid subscribers. The explanatory and accountability journalism I do on housing unaffordability, climate change inaction and child poverty reduction is only possible with the support of paid subscribers. I thank them and welcome more. Paid subscribers get all the daily emails and podcasts I produce, along with the ability to comment on articles. They also get exclusive invites to attend the weekly hoon via zoom webinar at 4pm on Fridays and my weekly Ask Me Anything session at midday on Fridays.

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Five facts that changed this week

Fuel taxes were cut and bus and train fares will be halved

The Government surprised everyone by deciding on Monday to cut fuel excise duties and road user charges by 25 cents a litre overnight for at least three months to help motorists deal with the rise in petrol prices to well over $3/litre. Grant Robertson said it would cost $350m for the three months, but this money was available and unspent in the Covid Response fund, which meant the Government wouldn’t need to borrow more to pay for it.

It also announced bus and train fares would be halved from April 1 at a cost of $25m to $40m per three months, which was welcomed by public transport campaigners and climate activists, who argued the total annual extra cost of making bus and train fares totally free of around $320m made the move do-able.

Here’s the piece I wrote with a podcast on Monday morning arguing cutting fuel taxes to deal with the immediate pain of higher oil prices would be a political issue in dealing with climate change.

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Dawn chorus: The Ukraine shock's potentially perverse climate consequences
Listen now | TLDR & TLDL: The war in Ukraine may be a pivot point for the world’s climate change actions, in one direction or the other. It may encourage an acceleration by some to wean themselves off fossil fuels even faster. Others may just double down on oil, gas and coal to reduce the immediate pain for consumers and voters…
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Then I put out a special news email as the news conference was finishing.

The next morning I put out an analysis and podcast on the announcement, and in particular what was missing from the point of view of renters with children, and from a climate change point of view.

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Dawn Chorus: The good and bad surprises in the energy crisis moves
Listen now (25 min) | TLDR & TLDL: There were surprises aplenty in last night’s energy crisis announcements, including good news in a halving of bus and train fares for at least three months from April 1. But the 25c/litre cut in the fuel excise levy from midnight last night still leaves those on the lowest incomes who are spending the largest portion of their disposable incomes on rent, food and fuel in precarious positions. The bulk of the $350m in Government subsidies for the tax relief will go to those who use the most fuel, who are most likely to have spare disposable income and be under less housing cost pressure because they are more likely to own homes…
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Why Aotearoa-NZ needs to diversify away from China

This week US officials said they had discovered China had agreed to Russian requests to send drones and missiles to Russia in Ukraine. They said there would be ‘consequences’ for China if this was confirmed, suggesting the United States is on the verge of pushing for secondary sanctions against China for its support of Russia, or at least its failure to condemn Russia.

I put out an analysis and podcast on why Aotearoa-NZ should accelate moves to diversify our exports and imports away from China to avoid the fallout from any de-globalisation that ends with China and Russia together alone behind a new iron curtain.

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Why we need to diversify away from China ASAP
Listen now (10 min) | TLDR & TLDL: Aotearoa-NZ Inc needs to urgently consider diversifying its export and import reliance away from China, which is threatening to join Russia on the other side of a new Iron Curtain. Last night the United States leaked intelligence it believes shows China has already agreed to send military supplies to Russia to help its ‘no limits’ partner in…
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The Fed hiked and forecast six more

This week the US Federal Reserve finally hiked it’s official cash rate for the first time since December 2018 and forecast six more hikes this year.

I put out an analysis and podcast on Thursday morning that looked at whether this was the end of the Powell Put, and why that mattered to us.

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
No Powell Put. Yet.
Listen now (22 min) | TLDR & TLDL: The US Federal Reserve has just hiked its key official interest rate for the first time since December 2018 and surprised investors with a more-hawkish-than expected outlook for six more rate hikes this year. Now we’ll see whether the global economy can ‘handle the truth’ of smaller and smaller stimulus from the world’s largest central bank. Not everyone is sticking to the ‘no more bailouts’ idea though. Last night China promised big new stimulus to rescue its stock market and the world’s largest oil traders called on central banks to flood the markets with fresh cash to prevent ‘Lehman Brothers moment’ in the global financial system. Twas ever thus…
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Christopher Luxon replaced a retiring Simon Bridges with Nicola Willis

Simon Bridges surprised us all by announcing his retirement from politics at the age of 45 to start a new career in commerce. Christopher Luxon chose his deputy Nicola Willis to replace Bridges as Finance spokesperson.

I talked about that in the podcast above and in the comments of yesterday’s Ask Me Anything, which had over 80 comments. I’ve opened it up for all to read. Only paid subscribers can comment and get the invites to the weekly hoon and Ask Me Anything events. That’s a hint…

Wellington discovered its water wasn’t being fluoridated

This is an extraordinary local story that speaks to the systematic underinvestment in public infrastructure and services over the last 30 years, which is hurting our physical, social and economic health day in and day out.

I put out an analysis and podcast on Friday on how this came about and what effect it is having. I’ve included a few of the latest scoops from others below.

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
False economies in health, water and transport
Listen now (17 min) | TLDR & TLDL: Three decades of bipartisan skimping on Government spending on public infrastructure and services such as health, education and transport was always going come home to roost, and now it is at the worst possible time, in the middle of a joint public health, cost-of-living and climate crises…
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Weekend reading and listening

Some fun things

Click through to see the short video. It’s glorious.

Ka kite ano

Bernard

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