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Friday's Chorus: Team Transitory's week of redemption
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Friday's Chorus: Team Transitory's week of redemption

Mortgage rates fall in NZ and US; Commodity prices back to pre-war levels; US inflationary expectations falling; US stocks rise again; BoJo goes (finally); China plans US$220b infrastructure stimulus
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TLDR: After more than a year of inflationary surprises and challenges to a multi-decade trend of ever-falling interest rates, ‘Team Transitory’ has finally had its day in the sun.

Mortgage rates in the United States and New Zealand fell this week as all manner of leading indicator prices, including those for copper, grains, milk powder and computer chips fell sharply, and financial markets lowered their longer-term views about inflation and interest rates.

Paid subscribers can see more analysis on this turn in the inflation outlook below the paywall fold and in the podcast above. They can also look out later today to email invites to my weekly Ask Me Anything session at midday and our weekly ‘hoon’ live webinar with myself, Peter Bale and Robert Patman to shoot the breeze about geo-politics and our own political economy. The invite link is also below the fun things at the bottom.

Westpac, ANZ and BNZ have all now cut their two-year mortgage rates. Photo: Lynn Grieveson/The Kākā

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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
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The latest daily snapshot of the news, detail, insight and analysis on geo-politics, the global economy, business, markets and the local political economy for citizens and decision-makers of Aotearoa-NZ.