ANZ sees 32% fall in wage-adjusted house prices
ANZ increases forecast for peak-to-trough fall in house prices to 22% from 18%, with wage-adjusted trough sliding to 10% below Feb 2020 levels; ANZ also sees floating mortgage rate rising to 9.6%
TLDR: The Labour Government faces the prospect at next year’s election of house prices being down 22% from their peak and 10% below their pre-covid levels once adjusted for wage inflation, if ANZ’s latest forecasts pan out.
That would be on top of an unemployment rate rising towards 5% and inflation still above 6% if the Reserve Bank’s forecasts from last week also pan out. Re-election for a third term would be something of a political miracle for a Government already around two to five percentage points behind the Opposition in opinion polls.
Elsewhere in the news overnight and this morning here and overseas:
China ramped up its vaccination programme for the elderly and clamped down on anti-covid protests, encouraging investors hoping for an earlier covid-zero exit;
data showed inflation sliding for the first time in Spain and Germany; and,
a NIMBY in Auckland suburban Balmoral will fight to stop a townhouse re-development replacing this graffiti-ed dairy on character protection grounds, and with council officials’ support. Stuff
Back to wage-adjusted square one
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