Hoon: 'News Zealand Over The Horizon' with Peter Bale

The week that was for the week's end in geo-politics and the political economy in around Aotearoa-NZ; including a podcast of Friday's 'hoon' around 'News Zealand over the Horizon' with Peter Bale

  
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TLDR & TLDL: This week the nation debated the Government’s apparent internal confusion about whether or how to end elimination next year. Everywhere, apart from Auckland, went down to level 2.5, which was too restrictive for many cafes, restaurants and events. Auckland looks set to stay in level 4 for a few more weeks, given the number of ‘mystery’ cases is stubbornly high. And house prices keep rising.

Overseas, Australia is divided between elimination states (Queensland and Western Australia) vs the ‘live with it’ states (Victoria and New South Wales), which is aiming to open up widely from mid-October when vaccination hits 70%. Also, Joe Biden mandated vaccination for over two million federal employees and companies such as Telstra and Qantas are increasingly mandating the vaccine.

In this week’s hoon webinar on Friday afternoon with over 50 particapants, Peter Bale and I talked about the ongoing lockdowns here and in Australia, the elimination debate here and Australia, Joe Biden’s problems, China looking at taking over America’s airbase at Bagram in Afghanistan, Brazil’s apparent descent into dictatorship, and other global issues. Peter produces a great weekly email briefing on geo-politics via the Spinoff (sign up here)

We also talked about housing later in the webinar, which included questions from participants. We aim to do this most Friday afternoons with a quiet chilled beverage.

From September 21, access to participate in these live webinars and the pieces below that were published Monday to Friday will only be for paying subscribers, while these weekend ‘wrap-ups’ with the podcasts will be for free for non-paying subscribers. Over 50 people joined the webinar on Friday afternoon.

I’ll be providing a special inaugural offer for all those on the currently free list. The regular cost will be $19/month or $190/year per subscriber. There will be group and corporate offers too. Watch this space and keep opening the The Kākā emails until September 21 to find the coupon to get that offer.


To get a sense of what I do for soon-to-be-paying subscribers Monday to Friday, I wrote these pieces this week:

The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Dawn Chorus: PM doubles down on elimination
Listen now (12 min) | TLDR & TLDL: Morena! The lockdowns in Auckland are far from over and the rest of Aotearoa-NZ looks set to stay at the tougher Delta Level Two restrictions until the ‘mystery cases’ stop turning up at Middlemore hospital unannounced, as another one did late yesterday…
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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Dawn Chorus: Time to stop kidding ourselves with the re-opening dream
Listen now (28 min) | TLDR & TLDL: Morena! Today I wanted to take a closer look at the sustainability of the elimination strategy and whether there is any imminent chance of a meaningful reopening. The short version is we have to keep elimination, but we also can’t open up. We are stuck in a cage of our making, which was the right thing to do, but we also shouldn’t kid ourse…
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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Delta Two Dawn Chorus: NZers more worried about housing than Covid
Listen now (13 min) | TLDR & TLDL: The rest of New Zealand outside Auckland is breathing a qualified sigh of relief this morning as Covid-19 restrictions dropped from Level 3 to ‘Delta Two’ rules just before midnight. The mask-wearing rules indoors and the 50-person cap for inside venues remain a major constraint for hospitality and events business, for ‘business-as-usual’ …
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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Dawn Chorus: Low interest rates for longer
Listen now (12 min) | TLDR & TLDL: Interest rates look set to stay low for even longer globally after very weak US jobs figures over the weekend quashed talk of an early end to US money printing. The Reserve Bank’s decision on Friday to propose another tightening of LVR rules from October 1…
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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
Dawn Chorus: Extra dose deal due
Listen now (17 min) | TLDR & TLDL: Morena! Fresh from announcing a shift to ‘Delta Two’ tonight outside of Auckland (see details and subscriber comments here on that), the Government is set to announce later today it has secured extra Pfizer doses to keep up a now-scorching pace of vaccinations. Australia just did such a deal and needed it desperately…
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The Kākā by Bernard Hickey
A transport budget that is yet to respond to the climate emergency
Listen now (25 min) | TLDR & TLDL: The Government has released a ‘holding pattern’ three-year spending plan for transport that is yet to include potentially major changes to spending on public transport, cycling and walking to achieve carbon zero by 2050. The latest $24.3b plan is 44% bigger than the last one and includes a $2b top-up loan from the Government to…
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